Miami at Philadelphia

In game two of the double-header, Cliff Lee goes for win number 17. He's been lights out of course, but so have other pitchers in this rotation and it hasn't helped the Phils win games lately. This team, even with the likes of Lee, Oswalt, Hamales and Halladay on the mound haven't been able to win a game by 2+ runs in five tries thanks to lackluster offense. The Phillies have averaged just 3.0 runs per game over their last seven games. Over the past three seasons, the Marlins have produce a near .500 record as a big underdog of +150 or more so don't count them out. They have a winning record on the road. And, Cliff Lee has a losing record overall at home vs. division foes. Against the runline, when the odds are in the +165 to -135 range as they are here, Florida is 46-22 the past three seasons. That includes a 42-19 mark as a road underdog. I like Florida to at least keep this within a run.