Miami at Philadelphia

Zack Wheeler has been the best pitcher in the National League through nine starts — 2.22 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, seven quality outings, sustained command that puts him a tier above most arms in the circuit. The Marlins send Ryan Gusto to the hill, a pitcher who looked noticeably sharper in his last turn: four scoreless innings against Arizona, his longest big-league start, throwing 45 of 66 pitches for strikes and showing the command he needs tonight. Miami is 35-36, a functional club with pitching depth that keeps games from getting out of hand. Philadelphia's lineup will score, but Wheeler's excellence is in holding run totals down, not in turning games into routs. The Marlins have enough bats and bullpen to stay within a run even in a well-pitched game. Miami wins on the runline tonight.