Miami at Milwaukee

Sure, the Marlins Ricky Nolasco is just 1-2 with a 5.91 ERA. But, he's facing a rookie witha 5.40 ERA whose team is just 3-4 the past seven games. Florida has won five of their last eight in contrast. On the road this season they are 5-3, averaging 5.3 runs per game. If Nolasco gets in trouble, the Marlins will take advantage of a bullpen with a 2.87 ERA (1.60 on the road). Milwaukee doesn't have that luxury. The Marlins are 18-7 the past three seasons when facing a starter with an ERA of 5.20 to 5.70. Over the past two seasons, they are 31-28 as a dog of +125 to +175. That includes an incredible 17-11 record on the road! We like the value here on the Marlins at this line.