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Miami at Los Angeles

July 8, 2007
img12:00 AM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Miami +124 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS

LA has lost four straight and Florida has won three in a row and four of five. We look for the Marlins to pull off the road sweep here. We like Florida today for a lot of the same reasons as yesterday. They are a winning road team (25-21) that can score (5.0 per game on the road). Mark Hendrickson has pitched better than Scott Olsen this season but of late, Hendrickson has really cracked. He's 0-3 in his last three starts, lasting only 4.8 innings per start and posting a 6.91 ERA. He hasn't been one to go deep, even earlier on as he is averaging just 5.3 innings per start on the season. He is definitely susceptible to getting rocked early on. With his recent performance, and a career 7.04 ERA vs. Florida, his psyche has to be a bit fragile. Yes, this is Florida's seventh straight road game, but so what? They are better on the road than at home this year and they are 10-3 this season in games following 6+ straight road games! They are also 16-10 as a road dog of +100 to +150. With Olsen starting, they are 11-5 the past two seasons in this role (road dog of up to +150).

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Miami Marlins
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Los Angeles Dodgers
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