Miami at Chicago

The wind is blowing at Wrigley and that means a massive total in this game. So what? Games don't often top 11 in the Majors, even here, and especially not this season. The wind doesn't change the fact that Florida averages just 3.9 runs per game on the road this season, or the fact that in day games they have managed just 3.4 per game. The Cubs get only 4.1 per game at home and 3.9 per game during the daylight hours. The Marlins have gone UNDER four straight as a road favorite while the Cubs are 5-0 UNDER in their last five as a home dog. In their last 12 games vs. a RHP, the Cubs are 9-3 to the UNDER. They are also 6-2 to the UNDER in their last eight home games vs. winning teams. The last six times the total has been set at 11+ here at Wrigley, the UNDER has gone 5-1 and I'm playing that trend here.