Miami at Boston

The Boston Red Sox head back home to Fenway just five games behind the Blue Jays in the AL East. The Miami Marlins have been a lot better than expected and are just five games under .500. They have not scored well on the road, which has led to a 50-38 mark to the UNDER. Boston is 17-13 to the UNDER when playing to a line of -125 to -175 on the season. Lucas Giolito has been a solid starter over the years when he is healthy. It sure looks to be the case as he has allowed two or fewer runs in eight of his last 11 starts, and four of those opponents did not score a single run against him. I like the UNDER here.