Miami at Atlanta

We were on Miami's price Thursday when New York scored the winning run late, but the Marlins have won three straight since, part of a stretch that's turned a franchise-record 12-game skid into six wins in seven games. Atlanta enters on its own five-game streak and sits comfortably atop the NL East, and Grant Holmes takes a 3.88 ERA into a matchup he's handled reasonably well in his career against Miami. Ryan Gusto doesn't have Holmes' polish, working to a 4.50 ERA in a season split between the rotation and bullpen, so this isn't a case for Miami being the better team tonight. It's a case for the price: the Marlins are finding form at the right time, sitting a game and a half out of a wild-card spot, and a club playing with that kind of momentum is live at plus money against anybody, including a team as good as Atlanta. Back the Marlins.