This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 11:54AM ET.
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Los Angeles at Kansas City

July 22, 2006
img7:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Kansas City +156 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 7.68)
Result:
LOSS

What? Am I nuts. We made a ton over the past few weeks on the Angels who were red hot. But now they are ice cold. They risk getting swept by the lowly Royals and I think it's gonna happen. LA, after tearing through June and early July, has lost three straight surrendering 23 runs. What about pride/revenge you say? How can LA get swept? Well consider that they are 4-12 the last two seasons as a road favorite revenging a loss! Kelvim Escobar is 3-8 as a favorite this season adn 14-21 as a big favorite of -150 or higher over the past decade. KC, as bad as they can be, can pull off big upsets at home. They are 15-10 as a home underdog of +125 to +175 this year. They are also 12-5 the last two seasons at home off a win by 4+ runs. KC scores 5.6 per game at home this season and they actually have the bullpen advantage here which is often their achiles heel. They even have the starting pitching advantage if you look at the stats. Escobar is 3-4 on the road with a 4.14 ERA. Over his last three starts it's 5.60. Luke Hudson has a 3.18 ERA in his two starts. KC is pumped to get the sweep and I like 'em for the big upset.

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