Los Angeles at Cleveland

Jared Weaver is sick, but he's not unbeatable. Josh Tomlin has posted an 11-4 mark including 7-1 at home thanks to a 3.37 ERA. Getting that kind of pitching at home with plus odds is a gift. The Angels average just 3.8 runs per game (3.7 in night games). Cleveland is no powerhouse, but their offense is measurably better than that. Backing up Tomlin is an Indians pen that owns a 3.43 ERA. At home this season, they have saved 11 of 13. When Tomlin has taken the mound at home the past two seasons, the Indians are 13-3. Play Cleveland as a live home dog.