Los Angeles at Chicago

This game has a very low total thanks ot John Lackey (1.29 ERA) and Jose Contreras (3.17 ERA). But, Lackey has only seen 14 innings of action in two games. Both of these teams have sub-par offenses overall but their offensive struggles have really come from games played on artificial turf. While averaging just 3.1 runs per game on artificial surfaces, the Angels average 4.7 per game on grass. Chicago has a similar profile. They average just 2.7 runs per game on artificial surfaces but 4.9 per game on grass. While on the surface (no pun intended), this looks like an easy UNDER play, we see value on the OVER.