Kansas City at Cleveland

The Royals average just 3.9 runs per game on the road. While Cleveland doesn't score much more than that, I like them here. Bruce Chen has been decent for Kansas City, but they have a losing record with him toeing the rubber. Fausto Carmona has been extremely good this season, posting a 3.79 ERA. Over his last three starts, he's gone 22 innings, allowing just 13 hits and 4 runs while striking out 18 batters. I expect the Royals to really struggle offensively here. This is the Royals' seventh straight road game and this is a team that is just 3-19 this season in games following six straight on the road. With Carmona on the mound at home vs. losing teams, the Indians are 10-1 UNDER dating back to last season. I like Cleveland to get the win in a low-scoring game.