This pick was released to clients on July 04, 2025 at 10:20AM ET.
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Kansas City at Arizona

July 4, 2025
img9:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas City is 11th in stolen bases. They've won two of the last three on this road trip, with the only defeat by a 3-2 score at Seattle. Starter Kris Bubic (2.25 ERA) has 101 strikeouts in 96 innings and sports a 1.88 ERA on the road. The Royals have won four of his last six road starts, with the two losses by just one run, 2-1 at Houston and 4-3 at the Yankees. The bullpen is sixth in the majors in ERA (3.55). Arizona has lost six of its eight games, including as favorites with odds of -150, -170, -162, -182, and -150. Batters are hitting .289 off starter Eduardo Rodriguez (5.13 ERA), while the bullpen is ranked 28th in ERA (5.26). They're 5-8 in his last 13 starts. The wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one run. Play Kansas City on the runline.

2 units on Kansas City +1.5 runs -209 (runline) (risk 2 to return 2.96)
Result:
WIN
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Arizona Diamondbacks
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