Houston at Toronto

Houston has a winning road mark and is on a 6-2 run overall. Starter Framber Valdez (3.15 ERA) has thrown well, especially on the road where he has a 0.57 ERA. The Astros are 22-6 against an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.40 or better and 103-50 after allowing two runs or fewer in the last game. Toronto is home, but it is 19th in the Majors in pitching ERA and is just 16-28 after playing six or more straight home contests. With Houston having won five of the last seven meetings, back the talented road dog. Play Houston.