Houston at Texas

The Houston Astros have lost some of their potent offense in recent years, but the pitching remains great, so they stay in many games. The Astros staff has allowed just 154 total runs this season in 44 games, or about 2.7 runs per game. The Texas Rangers are built similarly. The Rangers staff has allowed just 158 runs in 46 games, or about 2.7 runs per contest. The problem is that both of these offenses are poor. The Astros have played seven of their last 11 games UNDER the total, while the Rangers have held opponents to three or fewer runs in their previous six games. Make the play UNDER the total.