This pick was released to clients on February 05, 2013 at 1:26PM ET.
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Houston at San Diego

August 1, 2006
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Houston +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 6.9)
Result:
WIN

Andy Pettitte vs. Jake Peavy. If I mentioned this matchup at the start of the season you'd probably be pretty excited for a great pitching duel. Well, both have losing records and ERAs over five. But, over their last three starts Pettitte is 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA while Peavy is 1-2 with an 8.47 ERA. Edge to Pettitte. The Pads are just 20-24 as a favorite this season including 12-21 at home. They are also 6-13 vs. losing teams this year. Also, road underdogs of +125 to +175 after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more runs are 26-13 (67%) in August games over the past decade. San Diego is a losing home team that scores just 4.1 per game at home. They should not be laying -140 to Petitte and the Astros.

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