Houston at Pittsburgh

Houston comes off a 3-0 loss to the Pirates, but the Astros still have won seven of 10 while Pittsburgh is firmly in last place in the NL Central. Houston has gone UNDER four of five overall and six of seven on the road. The Pirates have stayed UNDER 11 of 14 home games and they are averaging only 3.18 runs per game in 2025. The Astros are 34-24 UNDER and the Pirates 38-23 UNDER overall this season. Pittsburgh is 0-11 in Mitch Keller's past 11 starts when pitching with five days rest and 0-8 when he starts after the Pirates allowed two or fewer runs their previous game. Framber Valdez has allowed only seven runs his past 37 innings and the Astros have won his past five starts. Pittsburgh hitters are batting just .200 with one homer in 60 at-bats against Valdez. Take the Astros to win, and bet the UNDER.