This pick was released to clients on June 21, 2025 at 6:28AM ET.
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Houston at Los Angeles

June 21, 2025
img9:38 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Houston is outscoring opponents by 53 runs, the fourth-best differential in the AL. The offense is 10th in slugging while the bullpen is third in ERA (3.30) after shutting down the Angels yesterday, 3-2. Brandon Walter (1.53 ERA) makes his fourth start with a 19-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 17+ innings. The Astros are on an 18-7 run, plus 22-12-1 UNDER the total. Los Angeles played seven games on the East Coast, then came home yesterday and mustered just six hits in 10 innings against Houston. The offense is 22nd in runs scored, last in on-base percentage, 15th in slugging, and 28th in steals. The team is 5-9 in the last 14 starts made by Jose Soriano, who has a 4.88 ERA at home. The Angels' bullpen has the fourth-worst ERA (5.32) in the majors, and their defense ranks 26th in fielding percentage. L.A. is on a 14-8-2 run UNDER the total, so back the first-place visitors in a defensive duel. Play Houston + UNDER the total.

1.5 units on Houston +110 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 3.15)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
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Los Angeles Angels img
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consensus consensus
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