The Oakland A's won yesterday's game 2-0 over the last 8 innings, but the 3-spot the Tigers hung on Bartolo Colon in the first inning was decisive. Justin Verlander had a spotty year for the Tigers, finishing with his highest ERA since 2008. His once dominating 100 MPH fastball has lost a few MPHs as he is consistently under 95 now. I think Oakland is going to get some good at-bats against him in this game. Sonny Gray finished strong and overall was 5-3 for the A's with a 2.67 ERA. This game is likely to see a lot more scoring opportunities than yesterday. Oakland has been strong in the role of a dog from +110 to +150 where they are 8-1 in their last nine. And coming off a loss this team has continued to come up big at 10-1 in their last 11. The A's have been at their best vs. right-handed pitching where they are 64-27 in their last 91 when facing one. The Tigers were just about automatic with Verlander on the mound, but are now 1-9 in his last 10 starts. Detroit is 10-4 to the OVER in their last 14 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP under 1.15. Oakland is 5-0 to the OVER to a total of 7 to 8.5 in their last five at home, and six of the last seven in this series have topped the total. Play Oakland and the OVER.
Detroit at Las Vegas
October 5, 2013
0.5 unit on Game Total OVER 7 -115 (risk 0.5 to return 0.5)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Las Vegas +112 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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