Detroit at New York

The Yankees have scored four runs or fewer in each of their last 10 games, and the lineup looks every bit as stuck as that stretch suggests. They draw Cam Schlittler tonight, who has carried a 1.62 ERA all year and just turned in back-to-back scoreless starts, one of them a thirteen-strikeout afternoon. Tarik Skubal answers with the kind of command most pitchers only dream about, 66 strikeouts against just eight walks on the season. Neither offense gives you much to fear. Detroit is hitting .236 as a team and scratching out barely four runs a game, and a cold New York lineup against an arm like Skubal's isn't how track meets start. Two front-line starters, two offenses running on empty. The public has piled onto the OVER, and my mathematical model leans the other way. Take the UNDER tonight.