Detroit has won all four games this season but I like the Twins tonight with Scott Baker on the mound. He is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA vs. Detroit while his counterpary Jeremy Bonderman is just 2-4 with a 6.75 ERA vs. the Twinkies. The Twins can hit at home (.287 and 5.1 runs per game) and I think that Baker brings enough game here for them to get the win. Besides, home teams allowing 5.2 or more runs/game after a combined score of 15 runs or more are 51-23 (69%) over the last 5 seasons. Twins.