2015 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
April 28, 2015
This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2022 at 12:16PM ET.
Detroit at Minnesota
Tuesday 04/28 08:10 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Minnesota +130 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 3.45) RESULT: WIN
Yes, the Tigers destroyed the Twins in their opening series, with a 22-1 scoring differential. But this game is different. Anibal Sanchez has posted a 7.11 road ERA and 8.44 overall in his last three starts. In contrast, Mike Pelfrey owns a 2.65 ERA overall including 1.80 at home. So getting that pitching matchup at underdog odds gives us value alone. The Tigers are also just 1-4 in their last five games vs. right-handed starters and Minnesota is 4-1 in their last five as a home dog. Go with Pelfrey and the Twins in this one.