Detroit at Cleveland

Detroit limped into the playoffs with a 7-17 record in September after blowing a 14 1/2-game division lead. Cleveland has won five of the past six meetings, including two that Tarik Skubal started for the Tigers. The Guardians also beat Skubal in last year's postseason. Four of the past five meetings have gone UNDER, and Detroit has gone UNDER five in a row. The Tigers have averaged only 2.5 runs in 16 games. The Guardians have won 17 of 20 to win the division, and they are on a 13-2-1 UNDER run. Gavin Williams has allowed just six runs on 22 hits in his past 31 innings. Cleveland is 6-0 in its past six starts against teams with winning records, and the Guardians have won seven straight versus left-handed starters. Detroit has lost five in a row in the first game of a series, and it has gone UNDER six of seven road games. Take the Guardians and the UNDER.