Colorado at Chicago

Carlos Zambrano has cooled a bit lately, struggling with his control and allowing 9 runs in his last fifteen innings pitched. The Cubs are just 2-4 vs. the Rockies with Zambrano starting in the last six. Don't get me wrong, he's great. But, I think the Rockies have a shot in this one because they can hit the ball. They have scored 9+ runs five times over the past ten games. The problem has been their defense but Chicago is no offensive powerhouse. Josh Fogg has not been beaten in Septemember. The Rockies are off a game in which they gave up 19 runs, but they are 10-2 the past two seasons following a game in which they allowed 12+ runs. The Cubs are tied for last place and shouldn't be laying 2-to-1 odds. They are 5-9 this season as a big favorite of -150 or more. With Zambrano on the mound, the Cubs are 3-7 this season as a home favorite of -150 or more! I think this line is too high and thus we get value on the Rockies.