Cleveland at Tampa Bay

Cleveland has won seven of 12, including winning three of the last four as underdogs. They've won the last two of this series, 7-1 and 3-2, as dogs of +130 and +118. Parker Messick (2.08 ERA) rarely walks anyone and shut out Tampa Bay two starts ago, 3-0, with seven innings of work. The bullpen is fifth in ERA (3.59). Tampa Bay is favored again, but on a 24-35 run. The offense is 19th in on-base percentage. The Rays have lost three of the last five starts made by Drew Rasmussen, including to Cleveland, 4-3, as a -150 favorite. Play Cleveland.