This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 12, 2026 at 11:19AM ET.
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Cleveland at Tampa Bay

October 12, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

Drew Rasmussen opened Tampa Bay’s Division Series by holding the Yankees to one hit over eight scoreless innings in a 1-0 win, and he gets the ball again for Game 1 tonight. His season line is a 2.67 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 30 starts. The Guardians scored 678 runs, 24th in the majors, and their .696 OPS ranked 26th. They reached this series with a 2-0 win over the White Sox in Game 5 on Saturday, and I had Cleveland that night. Foster Griffin has a 5.19 ERA in nine starts since Cleveland acquired him from Washington. Eight of those earned runs came in a single start at Baltimore on September 9, and he allowed one run over six innings at Boston in his final regular-season outing. He also struck out seven over two and two-thirds innings of relief against Chicago in Game 3. Tampa Bay scored 736 runs, 12th in the majors, and its 169 home runs ranked 22nd, so this is not a lineup that piles up runs in a hurry. Cleveland’s bullpen posted a 3.54 ERA behind its starters this season. Take the UNDER tonight.

0.5 unit on Game Total UNDER 7 -121 (risk 0.5 to return 0.91)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cleveland Guardians img
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
7
Tampa Bay Rays
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
consensus consensus
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