Cleveland at Minnesota

Cleveland has been getting excellent pitching as it has pulled within 3 1/2 games of first place in the AL Central after sweeping a three-game set with the Tigers. The Guardians have gone UNDER eight of nine, and they are 7-2 UNDER their past nine at Minnesota. Five of the past seven meetings overall have stayed UNDER. The UNDER is 4-0-2 in Pablo Lopez's past six starts against the AL Central. The Guardians have gone UNDER four straight against a pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15. Lopez has a 1.85 ERA and a .203 opponent batting average in night games. Parker Messick has allowed five runs in four starts in 22 2/3 innings pitched for Cleveland. The Guardians have allowed more than two runs just twice in 10 games, and they are 42-31-3 UNDER on the road in 2025. Take the UNDER.