This Pro Pick was released to clients on April 11, 2026 at 11:20AM ET.
img MLB

Cleveland at Atlanta

April 11, 2026
img7:15 PM Eastern

The numbers show the Braves to have a top-five offense and the lowest ERA in the majors. But Atlanta has maybe been the luckiest team in baseball so far. Braves pitchers have allowed just a .226 batting average on balls in play so far this year. That is the lowest BABIP allowed in baseball, with the second-lowest at .241. That statistic should be going up starting today, with over-the-hill Martin Perez on the mound for Atlanta. Perez has pitched for seven teams since 2018, twice with the Rangers. He had a 5.20 ERA two seasons ago. The 35-year-old Perez has a 3.86 ERA in 9.1 innings this season. The Braves will be getting their first look at Parker Messick, a highly rated prospect for Cleveland. Messick is 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 11 strikeouts in 11 Innings this season. Messick could be the best pitcher the Braves have faced in their past 12 games. Take the Guardians.

1 unit on Cleveland +104 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.04)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cleveland Guardians img
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
6
Atlanta Braves
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get free MLB Picks

I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.