Cincinnati at Toronto

I had Toronto yesterday, and Cincinnati won 5-1 behind six scoreless innings from Rhett Lowder. That loss says more about the Blue Jays' bats than about the Reds, and it's the angle today. Toronto ranks last in the majors in runs per game and has scored 30 runs over its last ten games. Brandon Williamson starts for Cincinnati off his best outing of the season, six scoreless innings on three hits at Atlanta. He has walked too many hitters this year, but against a lineup this cold that's a manageable flaw. Max Scherzer's 6.14 ERA is the number working against this pick. What makes it survivable is the lineup he's facing: the Reds rank 27th in runs per game, and Scherzer held Detroit to one run over five innings two starts ago. Behind him, Toronto's bullpen carries a 3.58 ERA and threw six scoreless innings in Friday's comeback win. Both teams are eliminated and playing out the string. The UNDER is the play this afternoon.