Cincinnati at San Francisco

Cincinnati squeezed out a road win yesterday, but the Reds are a long way from home and the Giants are 9-3 in their last 12 home games, as well as on a 15-7 run. This Cincinnati offense is 21st in baseball in runs scored and on base percentage and goes with 35-year old Bronson Arroyo, with the team 0-4 his last four starts. He's given up 12 runs and 29 hits in 25 innings his last four starts. The Reds are 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-4 in their last five playoff games. San Francisco ranks No. 12 in runs scored, eighth in OBP and the Giants are 12-4 in their last 16 games as a favorite, including 9-2 in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Madison Bumgarner (16-11) has been outstanding at home, with a 10-3 record and a 2.38 ERA where opponents hit .219 off him! He faced the Reds once this season....and fired a one-hitter with eight Ks and no runs. Bumgarner went 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in three postseason starts in 2010, including throwing eight shutout innings at Texas in Game four of the World Series. The Giants are 21-5 in Bumgarner's last 26 starts as a home favorite, as well as 20-6 in his last 26 home starts. Play the Giants in Game two of the NLDS.