Cincinnati at San Diego

The Reds pitching has been amongst the best in the Majors this season. They have held opponents to just 3.6 runs per game (2.9 per game over their last seven, and 3.4 per game in 62 night games). That's bad news for a San Diego offense that manages just 3.8 runs per game at home. Tonight Mike Leake gets the call for the Reds, and he's been nothing short of amazing this season. He's 10-4 overall, including 7-1 on the road with a 2.13 ERA. Cincinnati is now 91-51 dating back to last season when facing losing teams, and Leake is 33-16 over that time period when facing NL opponents that average under 4.4 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Pads are just 10-26 this season as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. Back Leake and the Reds here.