Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Cincinnati is 4-4 in its last eight as a favorite, with losses as chalk of -110, -192, -200, and -225. Nick Martinez has a 4.91 ERA on the road where the home teams are hitting .307 off him. The Reds are 2-7 in his nine starts, including 0-4 on the road. Pittsburgh is sixth in the majors in steals. They're 2-2 in their last four home contests, winning as underdogs of +125 and +185 over Atlanta. Starter Bailey Falter has a 3.00 ERA at home, where he's holding batters to a .163 average. The Pirates have won four of his last six starts, including three wins as underdogs of +155 over the Angels (9-1), +125 over the Braves (3-2), and +220 over the Mets (4-0) in his last start. Play Pittsburgh.