Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Cincinnati has split its last four games as an underdog, winning 8-5 over the Cubs as a +135 dog and a 1-0 shutout of the Phillies as a +140 dog. The Reds are 14-9 when Justin Dunn starts, including 8-2 versus division opponents. Pittsburgh is favored but has a losing home record with an offense ranked #28 in runs scored, on-base percentage, and slugging. Pittsburgh starter Tyler Beede has allowed 48 hits and 23 walks in 48 innings overall with a 4.71 ERA at home. And the Pirates are 12-33 after two or more straight wins. Play Cincinnati.