Cincinnati at Philadelphia

The Cincinnati Reds had a great year, but that doesn't always translate into the postseason, especially when it has been a long time since they have been here. This is also a young team, and the pressures of the postseason and the jitters that go along with it, make it even more difficult. Roy Halladay is a top notch pitcher, but you could see the Reds’ hitters were really feeling the postseason heat, and his experience as a savvy pitcher took advantage of that. Things won't get any easier today facing another quality arm with lots of experience in Roy Oswalt. Philly has been a hot team in the second half of the season, and has lots of playoff experience. Teams in the first round that are posted as a -160 or higher moneyline, have now gone 19-5 in the last 24, so lots of value left on the table despite the chalky number here. I like Philly in this one.