Cincinnati at Philadelphia

Cincinnati has split its last four games, including a 7-6 win at Cleveland as a +130 dog. The offense is 12th in slugging and ninth in steals. Nick Lodolo struggled in his lone road start. However, last season he was very good overall (3.33 ERA), including a 2.81 ERA on the road, where he held the home teams to a .204 batting average. Philadelphia's offense is 18th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage, and 16th in steals. The Phillies come home from a six-game road trip. Batters are hitting .312 off starter Andrew Painter (6.21 ERA), with the team losing his last six starts. That includes a 12-1 loss to the Athletics in his last home start as a favorite. Play Cincinnati.