Cincinnati at New York

The Reds send a rookie in Johnny Cueto to the mound today. He's got a losing record and a 5.27 ERA. He's got heat, but he has been susceptible to giving up runs in bunches. In his road starts he has lasted just 4.7 frames per start yielding five runs per game. Oliver Perez has had a rough go of it lately, but he's more seasoned and is at home. The Mets are 10-6 at home while the Reds are 7-13 on the road. Over the past three seasons, New York is 92-59 to a line of +125 to -125. That includes a 29-15 mark at home. We'll back the Mets on a very reasonable price here.