Cincinnati at Milwaukee

You can't trust the Reds on the road with a losing road mark. Cincinnati has a mediocre offense (#21 in on-base percentage, #15 in runs) and is 3-7 overall the last 10 games. The Reds are 16-35 in their last 51 road games, including 10-29 away vs. a right-handed starter. Milwaukee is a tough park to pitch in and despite two wins the last two nights, Cincy pitchers have allowed 11 runs. The Brewers unveil 25-year old Jimmy Nelson (1.50 ERA), a top prospect who has been great walking two while fanning 12 in 12 innings. He has faced the Reds once and allowed one walk with 8 strikeouts in seven innings. The home team is 8-2 in umpire Sean Barber's last 10 games behind home plate, so grab the home dog and play on Milwaukee.