Cincinnati at Milwaukee

Ben Sheets won't be down for long. He has missed starts due to a sore shoulder and his first outing was not good, but this guy will bounce back and I think it's here in his second start. He is 5-2 with a 2.35 ERA vs. Cincinnati in 11 starts. Road underdogs at +125 to +175 that averages 0.75+ errors/game, after a combined score of 15 runs or more are just 18-61 (77%) over the last 5 seasons. Cincinnati is allowing 6.4 runs per game this season. They are allowing .341 batting average over their past seven games while Milwaukee is batting .327 over their last seven. With Milwaukee's strong offense against Cincinnati's weak defense and Ben Sheets on the mound, I like the Brew Crew here.