Cincinnati at Los Angeles

Nick Lodolo takes the mound for Cincinnati tonight carrying a 5.08 ERA and a track record of coming apart before the fifth inning, having allowed four or more earned runs in three of his last five turns. Tarik Skubal counters for a Dodgers club that has won five straight and gone 7-3 over its last ten, a 2.86 ERA and a walk rate that borders on stingy, backing up one of the more consistent stretches of his season. Los Angeles brings the fourth-most productive offense in baseball into a matchup against a Reds pitching staff that ranks 26th in team ERA, and a Cincinnati offense sitting 23rd in OPS won't be bailing Lodolo out the way the Dodgers can bail out Skubal on an off night. I had the OVER on this same Dodgers lineup two nights ago, and it cashed comfortably, with Los Angeles and Washington combining for a dozen runs that blew well past the number, and nothing about tonight's pitching matchup slows that pattern down. Los Angeles is the right side on the moneyline tonight, and the OVER goes right alongside it.