Cincinnati at Kansas City

The Kansas City Royals were a playoff team last year, and the Royals are all about pitching. The Kansas City staff has allowed just 177 runs on the season, one run behind the Minnesota Twins for the fewest runs allowed in the AL. The Royals have held four opponents to one run or fewer over their last eight games. The problem is that they have lost many low-scoring games because the offense has been subpar. The Royals are 35-18 on the season UNDER. Cincinnati is 30-21 to the under on the season, including 0-5 against teams in the AL Central. The pitching matchup is between two pitchers with ERA's at 3.77 (Lorenzen), and 3.43 (Martinez). I like the UNDER in this one, as these teams combine for a 65-39 record to the UNDER on the season.