The Houston Astros lost 106 games a year ago, and they have definitely made some strides this season. While they have been an awful choice on the road, this is a team that has been built up enough to be more than competitive at home where they enter this game at 24-21 for the season, which is better than the Reds’ road mark to this point. That certainly points to over-inflated odds here, and the ‘Stros are the ones on the valued side. Wandy Rodriguez is a better than average pitcher, and owns a 3.33 ERA on the season at home. After a big year in 2010, Matt Latos has progressively gotten worse. Houston is 5-2 here behind Rodriguez when facing the Reds in his last seven against them. Play on Houston.
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