Cincinnati at Colorado

Coors Field is not quite the launching pad it once was, and the Rockies' lineup is also not quite as imposing as it once was either. Couple that with a somewhat upgraded pitching staff, and these big totals become a tough chore to topple. Greg Reynolds has a strong reputation, and why not? He posted a 12-3 mark with a 1.05 WHIP in AAA, and had a breakout start his last time out, allowing 2 runs and just 5 hits over 6 innings. Juan Nicasio does not have good numbers until you look at what he has done at home. Nicasio is 4-1 with a 3.56 ERA here, and a stellar 1.10 WHIP in 11 starts. This one has more of the look of a pitcher-dominated game, and the total is too high, so play this one UNDER the total.