When the Guardians score runs, they are dangerous. Cleveland is averaging 5.1 runs per game during its last eight games. The Guardians should continue their strong scoring ways facing Chris Paddack, who is 0-5 with a 7.63 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in six starts this season. Paddack has allowed 26 earned runs, six homers, and put on 51 base runners in 30.2 innings. The Reds claimed Paddack off waivers a few days ago after the Marlins gave up on him. The Reds are 1-7 in their last eight road games. Guardians starter Joey Cantillo has looked the best he has all season, allowing only one earned run in his past two starts spanning 11 innings. Cleveland has American League saves leader Cade Smith, while the Reds rank fifth from the bottom in bullpen ERA at 4.77. Take the Guardians.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on May 16, 2026 at 11:16AM ET.
Cincinnati at Cleveland
May 16, 2026
1.5 units on Cleveland -149 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.51)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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