Chicago at Tampa Bay

Nick Martinez has been red hot for over a month, holding opponents to two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts while working at least five innings in every one of them. Chicago's lineup is exactly the kind of offense that struggles against that: a .239 team average that ranks 20th in baseball, and a roster piecing around Kyle Teel, Austin Hays, and a bullpen already missing four relievers to injury. Erick Fedde is 5-0 in his own last five starts, but the number that matters more is 4.1 innings per outing — he's not going deep, and every time he exits early, that thin White Sox bullpen becomes the safety net. Tampa Bay's own relief corps has real weapons late, with Bryan Baker and Kevin Kelly both sitting under a 2.30 ERA. This game is built to stay controlled: a dominant starter neutralizing a bottom-third offense, with the shakier bullpen on the other side. Martinez gives Tampa Bay the mound advantage and is the reason the total holds down too. Take Tampa Bay on the moneyline and the UNDER tonight.