Chicago at New York

The White Sox arrived in the Bronx for this series at 14-22 on the road and trending the wrong way: over the last 10 games, they've been outscored by 14 runs. New York has gone in the other direction — 8-2 over that same stretch, 21-12 at home all season, and outscoring opponents by 29 runs in 10 games. The Yankees are playing this without Aaron Judge, who is on the injured list. It hasn't slowed the offense. Without their best player, New York has posted the second-highest production against right-handed pitching in the league and the highest home run rate facing righties. Sean Burke draws the assignment for Chicago at 4.15 ERA and 1.26 WHIP — serviceable, not dominant — and this lineup has punished pitchers with that profile all season. Ryan Weathers goes for the Yankees at 4.36 ERA and 1.17 WHIP, and while he's been inconsistent, the offense has been carrying lesser starts for months. The moneyline is -159 for good reason. At +133 on the runline, you're getting paid real money to back a team with the best home record in the American League to win by two or more.