Chicago at New York

The Yankees pounded the White Sox by ten runs last night and come back to the mound tonight with Carlos Rodon, who has quietly settled into something reliable after a shaky return from elbow surgery. His last start was six innings, one run, and seven strikeouts against Cleveland. He's sitting at a 2.88 ERA through his first five starts of 2026, and hard contact against him has been limited. The White Sox counter with Anthony Kay, a 31-year-old who posted a 1.74 ERA in Japan and has translated some of that success to the States — 6-1 on the year — but the underlying numbers tell a different story. He's giving up hits and home runs at a rate that suggests the results won't hold, and the Yankees' lineup is exactly the wrong matchup for a pitcher running on borrowed luck. Plus money on the Yankees to win by two or more against a starter they should handle with a rested offense is a number worth pressing. New York is the play; lay the runline.