I like Nationals on the runline. Stammen has pitched very well and the Cubs have struggled on the road, even with Zambrano on the hill. In Zambrano's last eight road starts, the Cubs would be 2-6 facing a -1.5 runline, so the value is certainly there for the Nats in this one, and I will make Washington a runline play.
Chicago at Washington
July 17, 2009
4 units on Washington +1.5 runs -140 (runline) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Washington +120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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