Chicago at Houston

The Astros return home after a marathon 10-game road trip. On the trip they went 7-3, scoring 5.8 runs per game. Lance Berkman hit .545 on the trip as his team scored less than 5 runs just twice on the trip. Now they return home where they are 11-6, averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Cubs are scoring in droves at home (6.7 per game) but on the road they are averaging just 4.3 runs per game. Ted Lilly has pitched well at home but on the road he's got a 6.43 ERA! Wrong team favored here and we'll back the very live home dog.