Chicago at Cincinnati

Chicago still holds a Wild Card spot at 85-68, even after stumbling to 4-6 over its last ten games. Cincinnati has been worse, managing just two wins in its own last ten, and the Reds carry a one-game skid into this one. Clay Holmes gets the ball for the Cubs and has looked far better than his ugly start against Miami two weeks ago suggests, working 5.2 solid innings with two earned runs in his last outing. Chase Burns takes the mound for Cincinnati carrying a sharp 2.80 ERA, but the Reds have kept him on a short leash his last two turns, holding him to three innings each time, and that workload keeps falling on a pitching staff that's scuffled to a 4.87 ERA as a group this season. Cincinnati's offense hasn't offered much cover either. The informed money agrees, loading up on Chicago on both the moneyline and the run line. Chicago is the play on the moneyline tonight.