Chicago at Cincinnati

Chicago is 11-21 on the road scoring just 3.9 runs per game. Cincinnati can score against anyone and they are pounding the ball of late scoring 7.4 per game over their last seven games. They also love lefties getting 6.2 per game against them on the season. Glendon Rusch has a 6.86 ERA which has ballooned to 9.48 over his last three starts. Bronson Arroyo has a 2.40 ERA (2.21 at home). 'Nuff said. Oh yeah, home teams that draw 4+ walks per game that have scored 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 32-7 (82%) over the last 5 seasons. Reds roll here.