Chicago at Cincinnati

Chicago has a terrific arm going in Hayden Wesneski. He had a winning record with a 2.18 ERA last year and a fine spring training with a 2.12 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He faced Cincinnati last season and has a 0.82 ERA against them. Cincinnati is favored but just 18-29 at home against teams with a slugging percentage of .400 or less. The Reds go with former reliever-turned-starter Luis Cessa. He had a 4.57 ERA last year, including a 6.08 ERA at home. He also threw 14 innings against the Cubs and struggled with a 5.14 ERA. And MLB home teams like Cincinnati that closed out last year with 20+ losses in 30 games are 12-32 in the first 12 games of the season versus opponents that ended the previous year with 17+ wins in their last 25 contests. Play Chicago.